# Blog, Publications

The US defence industrial base can no longer reliably supply Europe

Europe has long relied on US weapons but the US military industrial base faces constraints and its production may be redirected elsewhere. Our piece for Bruegel....

18th December 2024 by Alexander Burilkov, Juan Mejino López, Guntram Wolff 1 views

# Publications

A European defence industrial strategy in a hostile world

Bruegel Policy Brief (here) Executive summary Russia’s illegal invasion of Ukraine has brought war back to Europe. Failing to stop Russia’s aggression would leave Europe at a critical disadvantage for decades, with a lon...

26th November 2024 by Juan Mejino-Lopez, Guntram Wolff 8 views

# Publications

Fit for war in decades: Europe’s and Germany’s slow rearmament vis-a-vis Russia

War is back in Europe and as it becomes long-lasting, the question of armament gains central im-portance. This report finds that Russian military industrial capacities have been rising strongly in the last two years, wel...

11th September 2024 by Guntram Wolff, Alexandr Burilkov, Katelyn Bushnell, Ivan Kharitonov 128 views

# Publications

Memo to the commissioner responsible for defence

You face the major challenges of Russian imperialism in the context of a potential United States retreat from Europe and a complex EU defence situation in which defence governance is spread across EU countries and variou...

5th September 2024 by Guntram Wolff 90 views

# Blog, Publications

What role do imports play in European defence?

The European Union wants to reduce reliance on imported defence equipment, but the reliance seems to be overstated. Our analysis for Bruegel The European Defence Industrial Strategy (EDIS), published in March 2024, propo...

4th July 2024 by Juan Mejino Lopez, Guntram B. Wolff 99 views

# Blog, Publications

Debt financing European air defence

A case can be made for financing European air defence through issuance of EU debt. Our analysis on Bruegel. Introduction Ukraine is not the only part of Europe vulnerable to missiles and air attacks[1]. Cu...

28th June 2024 by Armin Steinbach, Guntram Wolff 113 views

# Publications

Using the financial system to enforce export controls

Russian imports of battlefield goods that are subject to export controls, including from Western producers, have surged since mid-2022 and reached levels close to those prior to Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. R...

6th May 2024 by Benjamin Hilgenstock, Elina Ribakova, Guntram B. Wolff, Anna Vlasyuk 65 views

# Blog, Publications

The European defence industrial strategy: important, but raising many questions

The European defence industrial strategy helps to focus thinking but has significant flaws This was first published on Bruegel. In the context of the war in Ukraine and the deteriorating security situation on the contine...

19th March 2024 by Guntram Wolff 149 views

# Publications

CBAM, Hydrogen Partnerships and Egypt’s Industry: Potential for Synergies

New article published in Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy (link) This article examines the hydrogen partnerships between Germany, the EU and Egypt in the context of the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mec...

28th February 2024 by Alexandra Gritz, Guntram Wolff 89 views

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# Publications

The macroeconomics of decarbonisation

Our Cambridge University Press book is out and available. Have a look....

21st February 2024 by Grégory Claeys, Marie Le Mouel, Simone Tagliapietra, Guntram B. Wolff, Georg Zachmann 107 views