# Blog

US tax reform and implications for the German coalition agreement

Major recent reform of US tax laws represents a serious challenge to Germany, highlighting several weaknesses in the country’s economy. The formation of Germany’s coalition government represents an opportunit...

7th February 2018 by Guntram Wolff 1589 views

# Blog

Difficulties and opportunities in reallocating European Parliament seats post-Brexit

Summary: The European Parliament must carefully consider the reallocation of seats after Brexit, allowing for a potential shift in political alignment and working within parameters already agreed with Member States. Thi...

5th February 2018 by Guntram Wolff 1722 views

# Blog

Regarding your new responsibilities, Mr Centeno…

Versions of this opinion piece were published in Negocios, Politico, Kathimerini and La Repubblica. Dear Mr Eurogroup president! Congratulations, you are taking on a challenging task. Not only will you have to look after...

29th January 2018 by Guntram Wolff 1909 views

# Blog

Does the European Parliament miss an opportunity to reform after Brexit?

On January 18th 2018, the European Parliament will vote on its new distribution of MEPs per Member State after Brexit. 73 MEPs are elected in the UK. These 73 seats can either be dropped or reallocated across countries o...

11th January 2018 by Guntram Wolff 3896 views

# Blog

Opportunities and risks in Europe in 2018

This opinion piece was published by Nikkei Asia Review and Nikkei Veritas as well as Kathimerni. As 2017 draws to a close, it is a good moment to review the main risks for the upcoming year and explore some of the...

30th December 2017 by Guntram Wolff 3204 views

# Blog

A German crisis?

This opinion piece was published in Caixin and Caixin(English). Jamaica has failed: the negotiations to form a new government in Germany by the so-called “Jamaica” partners, named after the colours of the parties that a...

11th December 2017 by Guntram Wolff 1462 views

# Blog

The European Commission should drop its ill-designed idea of a finance minister

This opinion piece was published on Politico, La Republicca, Die Zeit, Kathimerini, and others. As always, the respective titles in the newspapers were NOT drafted by me. European Commission president Jean Claude Juncker...

4th December 2017 by Guntram Wolff 7139 views

# Blog

German wages, the Phillips curve and migration in the euro area

This post studies why wages in Germany have not borne strong increases despite a relatively strong labour market. I list four reasons why announcing the death of the Phillips curve – the negative relationship between une...

29th November 2017 by Guntram Wolff 3576 views

# Blog

What has driven the votes for Germany’s right-wing Alternative für Deutschland?

The AfD vote in East Germany was consistently stronger than in the West, even after controlling for income, age, education, religion and the overall rural nature of the new Bundesländer. This was first published on Brueg...

6th October 2017 by Guntram Wolff 3981 views

# Blog

A Jamaican Germany could be good for Europe

A shortened version of this opinion piece has been published by the Financial Times. Germany has voted – and the result has been a shock to Germans and to Europe. The AfD – an extremely right wing, and in part neo-nazi, ...

29th September 2017 by Guntram Wolff 2178 views